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  Thursday  November 4  2004    09: 51 AM

oil

Oil: Is the end at hand?
A once-fringe group saying we'll run out of oil is gaining attention, even within the oil industry.


The end of cheap oil may mean more than just higher gas prices for Americans. It may mean the end of the oil age as we know it.

That is according to the so-called peak-oil movement, which says that by 2008 humans will have extracted half of the earth's oil. In other words, we're using oil faster than we can ever hope to find it.

"We have all been enjoying the greatest party the world has ever seen: the great oil party," according to Kjell Aleklett, president of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil (ASPO) and a physics professor at Uppsala University in Sweden.

"After the climax comes the decline, when we have to sober up and face the fact that the party is coming to an end," he wrote in a paper earlier this year.

The hangover would mean not only the end of low oil prices, but also a slowdown in world economic growth. It could also lead to social and political unrest, as many countries try to keep the party going even as oil disappears.

[more]

  thanks to The Mike Runge Peak Oil Archive