gordon.coale
 
Home
 


Weblog Archives

   
 
  Friday  December 3  2004    01: 13 PM

economy

The Perfect Economic Storm: Revisted


Early this year I wrote "The Perfect Economic Storm", in which I suggested that an economic meltdown of epic proportions was likely in 2005. I picked three main reasons - an oil shock (which is now occuring), the housing bubble bursting (which is looking likely) and a currency meltdown (likewise). But really, as usual I was tripped up by the second rule of Bush: Not only is it worse than you think, it's worse than you can possibly imagine. Which means even this post probably isn't pessimistic enough. Nonetheless, let's take a quick run through the US economy's prospects for 2005

[more]